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Abstract
Wide differences between effective or realised average tax rates, and tax
yields that would result if statutory tax rates were strictly applied indicate
problems with tax compliance and collection. Due to the greater politicisation
of tax systems in transition economies (TEs), we would expect the shortfalls
in effective tax yields for TEs to be larger than a benchmark for the mature
market economies where tax systems are well established, the administrative
capacity is stronger and tax arrears are tolerated less frequently. The
methodology involves calculating an effective/statutory (E/S) tax ratio.
Initial results indicate that the leading TEs have E/S ratios similar to the
EU average. We find a positive correlation between progress in transition and
effective tax administration, as measured by our E/S ratio. For slow
reformers, the effectiveness of tax collection appears to vary with the extent
of state control. Those TEs that have maintained the apparatus of the state
have done well in tax collection compared with those countries where there is
evidence of state decay. This raises a number of broad policy issues relating
to the speed of transition, the interaction of politics and economic reforms,
the capacity of the state to govern, and the need for market institutions to
develop.
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